Showing posts with label Leftist. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Leftist. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Zone 3- Micro Analysis: ‘Hugo Chavez- Venezuela’s Controversial Leader’

Week #100 – Dated Dec. 27th-Jan. 2nd 2009-10’
During the 1980s and 1990s, Venezuela was deteriorating at a rapid pace where its GDP plummeted around 40 percent. In a state of widespread unrest, Chávez then a lieutenant colonel led a military coup in February 1992 against the government. Although the coup failed and Chávez spent the next two years in prison, his bold defiance catapulted him onto the national political stage and launched his career. Over the years he has survived an attempted coup, a roll back election, a second term in office and after having initially lost a referendum to introduce constitutional change expanding his influence, Chavez later won another vote in 2009 that eliminated term limits barricading his entry in the next elections.
On entering politics Chávez's combative style and straight-talking populist charisma served well in a country marked by pervasive discontent. His fierce indictment of the old political order and his promise of a "revolution" held wide appeal among poor Venezuelans. Unlike the "out of touch" politicians, Chávez projected a sincere concern for those living in poverty which meant around three-quarters of the population.
Chávez's political project, as one analyst notes, has been an eclectic blend of populism, nationalism, militarism, and, socialism, combined with a "Bolivarian" emphasis on South American unity. Chávez’s proponents project him as a popular leader in a system of "Participatory democracy," focused on empowering and mobilizing Venezuelans. Harris Whitbeck a CNN correspondent notes that to his most ardent backers in Venezuela and among the international left, Chávez is a hero driven by humanitarian impulses to redress social injustice and inequality -- problems long neglected by a traditional political class intent on protecting its own position while denying the masses their rightful share of wealth and meaningful political participation. He is bravely fighting for Latin American solidarity and standing up to the overbearing United States. With charisma and oil dollars, he is seizing an opportunity to correct the power and wealth imbalances that have long defined Venezuelan and hemispheric affairs.
Critics however view Chavez as having despotic tendencies, a most recent exemplar of charismatic, populist leadership that emerged from the severe crises of the past two decades in Latin America. Although opinions differ on whether Chávez's rule should be characterized as authoritarian or democratic, a vast majority agrees that in contrast to his predecessors, Chávez has made the welfare of the Venezuelan poor his top priority. The Nobel laureate economist Joseph Stiglitz has noted, "Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez seems to have succeeded in bringing education and health services to the barrios of Caracas, which previously had seen little of the benefits of that country's rich endowment of oil". The renowned political scientist Noam Chomsky has also voiced his interest in Chávez’s policies commenting that many are quite constructive. He also says that the Venezuelan president seems to have the overwhelming support of the people in his country. “He has gone through six closely supervised elections,” a significant observation. Even The Economist has written that "Chávez's brand of revolution has delivered some social gains."
In Venezuela the poor receive free health care and education. Some analysts observe that the opposition's lack of success stems from its past unwillingness even to recognize, let alone devise solutions to, the deep social problems that Chávez has identified. Chávez's government, meanwhile, has undertaken important social programs and launched workers' cooperatives in urban slums. Venezuela's oil wealth too has made massive expenditures possible providing food, education, and medical care to underserved populations, which have undeniably had some effect. Even the Colombian magazine Semana, generally critical of Chávez, named the Venezuelan president "man of the year" for having "modified the political map of the subcontinent, distributed his oil wealth in every direction, challenged the United States, and gone from being perceived as a tropical clown to the Latin American leader with the greatest political influence."
Arguing the other side Whitbeck notes that to his opponents -- the embattled domestic opposition and many in Washington -- Chávez is a power-hungry dictator who disregards the rule of law and the democratic process. He is on a catastrophic course of extending state control over the economy, militarizing politics, eliminating dissent, cozying up to rogue regimes, and carrying out wrong-headed social programs that will set Venezuela back. He is an authoritarian whose vision and policies have no redeeming qualities and a formidable menace to his own people, his Latin American neighbors, and U.S. interests.
Many argue that the "Chávez is good for the poor" hypothesis is inconsistent with the facts. Francisco Rodríguez notes that Chávez's political success does not stem from the achievements of his social programs or from his effectiveness at redistributing wealth. Rather, through a combination of luck and manipulation of the political system, Chávez has faced elections at times of strong economic growth, and driven by an oil boom bigger than any since the 1970s. Coined as Cháveznomics, the economists Rudiger Dornbusch and Sebastian Edwards have characterized such policies as "the macroeconomics of populism." Populist macroeconomics is invariably characterized by the use of expansionary fiscal and economic policies and an overvalued currency with the intention of accelerating growth and redistribution.
Regardless of whether the conditions of Venezuela's poor have marginally improved or marginally worsened under Chávez, his "Bolivarian Revolution", critics argue, is hardly a sustainable model for Venezuela's or the region's predicament. Its approach is fundamentally clientelistic, perpetuating dependence on state patronage rather than promoting broad-based development. Random land-reform measures and occasional confiscations of private property have had less of an economic than a political and symbolic rationale. Further more Venezuela’s oil dependence is cited by the critics as a trend in striking continuity with previous governments, yet another example of Venezuela's "oil curse" undermining sustainable policy.
In the international front Chavez’s Firebrand comments have colored his persona in the world arena. He is a staunch Cuban ally and has been a vocal supporter of Iran and Palestine against Israel. In September 2006, Chavez’s speech to the United Nations General Assembly, in which he referred to then US President George W Bush as "the devil", was met with applause. In November 2007 Chavez fell out with Spain after a run-in with King Juan Carlos during the final session of Ibero-American summit in Santiago. Last year however, Chavez congratulated Barack Obama on his election victory and has indicated he is ready to "start a process of rapprochement" with the US.
Chavez's opponents say he has undercut Venezuela's democracy by systematically concentrating power in his own hands. Some of the measures in support of this argument, which Chavez insists are meant only to uphold the laws, include:
- Refusal to renew licenses of dozens of critical radio stations and a television channel. A controversial law punishing journalists for writing ‘harmful’ material has also been introduced.
- Slashed budgets after opposition candidates captured five governorships and Venezuela's two biggest cities in elections.
- Nearly 400 politicians put under investigation for corruption, hence barred from running for office.
Public opinion despite having declined still depicts substantially high support for the controversial Latin American Leader. According to a recent Gallup survey President Hugo Chavez's popularity among Venezuelans has waned in recent years. Less than half of Venezuelans (47%) in August 2009 said they approved of Chavez' job performance however the number is still substantially higher then the 35% who voiced disapproval. Nevertheless the polarity of views both domestically and internationally regarding Hugo Chavez continues to fuel the debate.

Discussion Question:
In your opinion whose case holds’s greater weight, Chavez’s proponents or his critics?
Bibliography/Related Links:
1.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/124232/Chavismo-Losing-Steam-Venezuela.aspx
2.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chavismo
3.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8180109.stm
4.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/country_profiles/1229348.stm
5.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/3517106.stm
6.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7858041.stm
7.
http://www.opednews.com/articles/Arthur-Shaw-Why-is-Hugo-C-by-Arthur-Shaw-100103-628.html
8.
http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20091213_intelligence_guidance_week_dec_13_2009
9.
http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20100111_venezuela_upside_devaluation
10.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7892196.stm
11.
http://www.miamiherald.com/news/world/AP/story/1399092.html
12.
http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/61703/michael-shifter/in-search-of-hugo-ch%C3%83%C2%A1vez
13.
http://74.125.153.132/search?q=cache:Ip5ov0IVpTYJ:www.miamiherald.com/news/world/AP/story/1399092.html+opponents+of+hugo+chavez&cd=8&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=pk 14. http://edition.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/americas/12/03/venezuela.referendum/index.html
15.
http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/64459/bernardo-alvarez-herrera-and-francisco-rodr%C3%83%C2%ADguez/revolutionary-road
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Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' The blog development project has been undertaken and jointly developed by the Gilani Research Foundation and BPM as a free resource and social discussion tool.
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Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Zone 3- Micro Analysis- Nicaragua- Another Regressing Latin American Democracy? W # 90

Week # 90, Dated 17th-24th Oct. 09’

Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega's allies in the Supreme Court lifted a ban on reelection last week, raising fears that Nicaragua might return to the kind of entrenched power that Ortega took up arms to defeat in 1979. He led the 1979 Sandinista uprising that ousted the regime of US-backed dictator Anastasio Somoza, after 45 years of oppressive rule.
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On 19th Oct. the nation's Supreme Court said a ban on presidents and vice presidents’ seeking a second term was "unenforceable." Nicaragua's constitution, amended since 1995, allows only one presidential term at a time and a maximum of two non-consecutive terms. Ortega, who served as president from 1985-1990, recently returned to power in 2006 after a 16 year hiatus.
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Many are terming the unfolding events as a constitutional coup. Unable to get the 56 legislative votes needed to reverse the reelection ban – and believed to be too unpopular to muster enough support for a popular referendum as leftist ally Hugo Chavez has done in Venezuela, Ortega Instead took his petition to lift a ban on consecutive terms to six pro-Sandinista judges who make up the constitutional branch of the Nicaraguan Supreme Court. They agreed with his argument that the prohibition on a second term violated his rights.

Internationally the United States has strongly condemned the development in Nicaragua. The US Sen. John Kerry (D) Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee said Ortega's "manipulation" of the Supreme Court "reeks of the authoritarianism of the past." He accused the Sandinista leader of "following the cues of the coup-plotters in Honduras."


According to the Nicaraguan M&R Consultores poll maker, 68.3 % of the Nicaraguans think that the presidential reelection "tends to weaken democracy and to restore a dictatorship," only 23.6 % think that the reelection "contributes to strengthening democracy," and 8.1 % said they do not know about the issue.
Also 71.3 % of the respondents think Ortega does not "deserve" to continue another presidential term, while 24.6 % think the contrary, and 4.1 % said they do not know.

Lately there have been guerrilla-style protests from a growing underground movement against the Sandinista government of Nicaragua. It’s a new trend of civil disobedience that has largely been driven underground by what Human Rights activists’ term as Sandinista repression on the streets. Even non-violent human rights leaders such as Gonzalo Carrión, of the Nicaraguan Center for Human Rights, are defending the peoples' "legitimate right to use all resources available to defend their liberty and country."

"We are now living under a strong and very original dictatorship," said constitutional analyst and retired Judge Sergio Garcia Quintero. "And we are quickly approaching a tyranny, where Ortega is no longer interested in even projecting the image of a democracy with a separation of powers."

One analyst notes that The Bolivarian block comprising Bolivia, Ecuador, Nicaragua, and Venezuela has made reelection its leaders’ priority. They range from “some like Hugo Chávez, who call popular referendums—and repeat them until the desired result is achieved—to Daniel Ortega, who has benefited from court decisions. Colombia’s Álvaro Uribe, for his part, is doing everything possible to extend his term, and others, like the Kirchners in Argentina, keep it all within their marriage.”
The broad consensus among analysts remains that in the Latin American region leaders who circumvent term limits are undermining the region's democratic progress.

Discussion Questions:

· Given the observed trend of power grabbing through presidential term limit extensions, do you think Latin America is adopting a new dictatorial trend in Democratic garb?

· Is the US sending out mixed signals—where it supported Zelaya against the Honduran preemptive Coup at his bid to seek reelection, while strongly condemning Ortega’s ‘Constitutional Coup’ for the same end?

Sources/ Related links-
http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5h-AFgS8LitQDCTBhuIlCWLuSCNDw
http://www.csmonitor.com/2009/1027/p90s01-woam.html
http://www.impre.com/laopinion/opinion/2009/10/27/victory-for-democracy-155897-1.html
http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/la-ed-termlimits26-2009oct26,0,6790603.story?track=rss
http://insidecostarica.com/dailynews/2009/october/24/centam-091024-03.htm
http://www.americasquarterly.org/node/1026
http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2009/oct/130875.htm
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/nu.html _______________________________________________________
Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' The blog development project has been undertaken and jointly developed by the Gilani Research Foundation and BPM as a free resource and social discussion tool.

Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Zone 3- Americas. Microscopic Analysis: The Honduran Coup- Latin America at a Crossroads?. Week # 86, Dated 20th-26th Sept, 09'.

On June 28th this year the Honduran army ousted Zelaya, an elected president, and exiled him in Central America's first military coup since the Cold War; Roberto Micheletti, the head of the Honduran Congress seized executive power in his stead where elections are scheduled for 28th of November this year. This week the Honduran interim government has set a 10 days ultimatum for the Brazilian authorities to ensure that Zelaya, who snuck back into the country and took refuge at the Brazilian embassy, not use its diplomatic protection to instigate violence in the country.

Mr Zelaya's removal followed a power struggle over his plans for constitutional change. The ousted president had wanted to hold a referendum, a non-binding public consultation due to be held on 28 June this year, that could have led to an extension of his non-renewable four-year term in office.

Zelaya has called his supporters to launch mass protests against the coup that has widely being condemned as illegal. There have been regular demonstrations both for and against Mr Zelaya, in a turmoil that has divided the Honduran population. A condition of political deadlock has ensued and a state of emergency has been imposed. In a whirlwind of events the interim government has cracked down on media and imposed curfews only to later apologize and promise a restoration of liberties.

Mr Zelaya, who came to office in 2006, a left oriented leader, enjoyed the support of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez and other left-wing leaders in the region. This appears to have alarmed certain sectors in Honduras, who perceived his plans for constitutional change as an attempt to stay in power.
Tension had been brewing in Honduras over recent months. Mr Zelaya sacked the head of the armed forces, at his refusal to provide logistical support for the planned referendum, a decision the Supreme Court later overruled. At Zelaya’s insistence to carry forth the consultation the Congress voted to remove him for what it called "repeated violations of the constitution and the law", and the Supreme Court put its weight behind it by ordering removal of the president.

Now widely being hailed as a symbol of a democratic Honduras, Zelaya, one analyst notes ironically did not hold popular approval, where only 25% voiced support for his policies in an opinion poll this year. Moreover the legality of his planned referendum is widely under doubt and the interim government is adamant that the military mobilized under constitutional orders and not of its own accord.

The United States has joined the Latin American leadership in proclaiming the ouster as illegal. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, speaking after meeting Mr Zelaya in Washington on 7 July, said that the US supported the restoration of the democratic, constitutional order in Honduras. But she did not explicitly call for Mr Zelaya, a frequent critic of the US, to return to power, saying he should try to settle issues in talks. However, recently president Obama qualified that a "terrible precedent" would be set if the coup were not reversed. Hence far attempts at reconciliation have not borne any fruit, with no end to the crisis in sight.

[1]Discussion Questions:

· Has the unfolding crisis in Honduras put the nation at a critical juncture that would determine the course of a democratic Latin America?

· Do you think Zelaya, now being portrayed as a democratic martyr is playing a shrewd political game?

· Does the American condemnation of the political upheaval and only a recent categorical renouncement of specifically Zelaya’s ouster as illegal demonstrate a tentative shift in the superpower’s policy towards Latin America?
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Bibliography:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8125292.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8124154.stm
http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE55R1S820090628?sp=true http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090928/ap_on_re_la_am_ca/lt_honduras_coup
http://www.dawn.com/wps/wcm/connect/dawn-content-library/dawn/the-newspaper/editorial/zelayas-game-899

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Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' The blog development project has been undertaken and jointly developed by the Gilani Research Foundation and BPM as a free resource and social discussion tool.

Thursday, September 24, 2009

Zone 3- Americas. Microscopic Analysis: Continent Wide Protests Against Hugo Chavez. Week #83, Dated 30th Aug-5th Sept.

Critics of Hugo Chavez marched in cities across the globe last week, in protests organized from the Columbian platform, calling the Venezuelan president a dictator, violator of human rights and hard-line populist who had placed his nation’s freedom of expression in jeopardy.

Chavez, who came to power in 1998, has become a charismatic global leader, but a polarizing figure at home and abroad for his unapologetic policies aimed at creating a socialist state. His use of Venezuela's oil wealth to fund social programs has won him the admiration and support of the poor and working classes who make up a majority of the country's population. However to critics his policies seem unsustainable.

Demonstrations were organized by Colombian activists after Mr. Chavez criticized Colombia for allowing US forces access to seven military bases. Accusations have also been levied against Chavez for supporting the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, or FARC, Colombia's Marxist rebels who have been fighting the government for more than 45 years.

Protest organizers used a number of social networking sites to organize the anti-Chavez demonstrations, where Facebook and Twitter were the prime means for organizing the protestors.

An estimated 5,000 people took part in protests in the Colombian capital Bogota, and thousands more in the capitals of Venezuela and Honduras. Smaller demonstrations were held in other Latin American capitals, as well as in New York and Madrid. In Venezuela, President Chavez's supporters, in relatively smaller numbers, also marched through the capital, Caracas, to show their solidarity with the socialist leader.

The BBC's Will Grant was of the view that conflict over Mr. Chavez is nothing new, but many Venezuelans are becoming disillusioned with the extent to which both sides seem to focus more on protests than policies.

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Discussion Questions:

· Since Chavez derives his support from the poorer segment of the society who often lack access to modern technology, could the use of social networking websites as an organizing tool have put him at a disadvantage?


· Does the fact that protests went through in Venezuela depict the falsehood of the allegations against suppression of speech, or is it simply a consequence of the media revolution that impedes despotic control of information sources?


· Does the continental level of protests, organized beyond national boundaries depict an erosion of state sovereignty in the face of relocation of power to transnational elements?

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Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' This project has been undertaken and developed by the Gilani Research Foundation as a free resource and social discussion tool.