Tuesday, March 16, 2010

BPM Discussion Forum-=Summary- (part 3)- Para States, Quasi states, and black spots: Perhaps not States but not ‘Ungoverned Territories’ Either

Case Study 2- Para-States in the Post-Soviet Area from 1991 to 2007
Katarzyna PeLczyNska-NaLEcz, Krzystof Strachota and Maciej Falkowski
The disintegration of the Soviet Union triggered one of the largest experiments in state formation in modern times. 15 new states emerged with hardly any experiences in statehood and difficult geo strategic positions as well as social and cultural identity, subsequently bringing about a new range of para-state entities.
Four Forms of Para-State Entities in the Post Soviet Region
As-if States: Internationally recognized but lacking essential control over its territory.
Almost States: Aspirant state entities that enjoy control over territory but lack international recognition.
Black-Spots: Areas under local governance/control (clans, criminal organizations etc.) that are neither recognized as nor aspire for statehood.
States Within States: Regions that formally recognize central governments but maintain a high degree of independence that is tolerated by the former for various reasons. These don’t seek international recognition and enjoy clearly defined institutions of power.
These para-state classifications are not necessarily mutually exclusive. In the 1990s in Chechnya Black spots existed in an almost state entity. Again in the case of Moldova and Azerbaijan, despite the existence of para state entities, the central governments continued to function relatively well and cannot thus be termed as As-if States.
These definitions are also not exhaustive. There may exist hybrid forms, consisting selective features of these classifications. For example in Georgia’s Java-khetia or southern Kyrgyzstan certain spheres of activity are controlled by clan or criminal structures operating in parallel to state authorities.
As-if States:
Reduced effectiveness of the state has plagued all the post soviet countries except for Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia. However deep incapacity that qualifies for as-if states is evident in regions with extended civil wars e.g. Georgia (1991-93) and Tajikistan (1992-97). Both these states faced problems in forming and legitimizing their central authorities and exercise monopoly over violence.
The Russian federation with its massive size and patch work of nationalities is a complex case. In its initial years with the legislative crisis the state authorities were completely paralyzed lacking any credible control. This eventually fomented the Fiscal crisis of 1992 where some entities, in a state of fiscal deficit, even issued surrogate money independent of the state. The process of state degradation reached its peak in the mid 90s.
The condition of states in the region began to stabilize in this decade, where a gradual shift towards state legitimacy was observed and state control over territory considerably increased (Russia, Georgia and Tajikistan being prime examples). In Russia reforms were implemented by President Vladimir Putin, but were not necessarily democratic in nature. The 2003 ‘Rose revolution’ resulting in the resignation of president Shevardnadze and democratic election of his successor Saakashvili in Georgia was the turning point. The pro NATO/EU reforms affected were supported by the west and the effectiveness of the state was thus not brought about by any credible democratic process.
Tajikistan however was not able to recover from its catastrophic civil war on its own. The Afghanistan war forced the external supporters, including Russia, Iran and Afghanistan, of the infighting Tajik Clans to reconcile. An unprecedented compromise ensued that admitted the opposition into the political structures of power moving the conflict to a political level. Control over Karategin Valley (black spot), refuge to the Islamic movement of Uzbekistan however remained elusive. Ultimately the war on terror freed Tajikistan from threats engendered by the Afghan conflict, and its accession to the anti terror coalition strengthened the Tajik government and entailed external assistance.
Almost-States:
This category includes South Ossetia and Abkhazia, the two separatist republics in Georgia, as well as Nagorno Karabakh, nominally part of Azerbaijan, and Transnistria in Moldova. The first three had enjoyed some autonomy during the soviet ere. To a greater extent in Nagorno-Karabakh, Abkhazia and Chechnya and to a lesser extent in Transnistria, separatist tendencies came about through ethnic conflict that turned violent. Russia was a key factor that prevented disintegration of the nominal state in Transnistria, Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Armenia with Russia’s support was involved in Nagorno Karabakh and at present maintains it as a defacto part of its own territory. All these states in the presence of external influence exist as de-facto satellites. In all these cases, though to some degree democratic institutions exist, however they are not functionally democratic, where political freedoms are restricted by deep rooted influences. Abkhazia perhaps has developed the most pluralist system but even there Bagpash, elected in 2004 against Moscow’s will had to accept, under pressure, his political rival as vice president.
States Within States:
This form of ‘deficit of the state’ was most common in the Russian federation of the 1990s, and even before the dissolution where such entities were common along ethnic lines. Tatarstan and Bashkortostan were the republics that achieved the highest degree of separation, adopting constitutions and legislation often in contradiction with the central government. Putin’s first phase of reform, introducing uniform legislature pretty much did away with such entities.
Another example is Georgia’s Ajarian Republic (1991-2004), where for 13 yrs powere remained in the hands of Aslan Abashidze, a member of the local communist nomanklatura and chairman of the supreme council of Ajaria. Following the collapse of USSR he took over absolute control with the help of his own police force. Following the ‘Rose revolution’ however, owing to the support of the people of Ajaria it was integrated back into Georgia.
Nakhichevan in Azerbaijan and Chechnya in Russia are two exceptions of states within states that did not disappear in the post soviet reformation. Nakhichevan is an autonomous enclave of Azerbaijan, with the status of a republic. The conflict in Nagorno Karabakh has isolated this entity from direct roots to the central government. The political ties with Azerbaijan however remain strong, where the dominant political clan originates from this region. The ‘vicegerent’ who has ruled there since 1993 maintains an authoritarian hold over the region and is loyal to the government in Azerbaijan. The entity enjoys in turn support from both Azerbaijan and Turkey, where it shares a direct border with the latter.
Black Spots:
These are difficult to describe because of a lack of borders and defined institutions. In the post soviet era many such ‘black spots’ emerged in connection with long term armed conflict (Georgia, Tajikistan and Chechnya) however most disappeared soon after the end of conflict and introduction of reforms.
In Georgia the Kodori Valley bordering Abkhazia and the Pankisi Gorge bordering Chechnya are two examples. Apart from armed conflict difficult geographic access too isolated these regions contributing to their status as ‘black spots’. Pankisi Gorge populated by Kist-Chechens was a natural refuge for Chechen rebels, was a major point of contention with Russia. Over time it came to be associated with Arab Mujahideen supporting the Chechens. Eventually with the pressures stemming from the War on Terror, this black spot disappeared between late 2001 and early 2002.
Kodori Valley, situated between the separatist regions of Abkhazia and Mingrelia, remained rebellious throughout the 1990s. it became a shelter for paramilitary and criminal organizations like the White Legion and the Forest Brothers, and even Chechen Rebels. Following the ‘Rose Revolution’ the upper part of the valley was finally incorporated into Georgia. This black spot however was transformed into a scene of conflict between Georgia and Abkhazia.
Javakhetia, an Armenian populated region in Southern Georgia is yet another example of a geographically isolated potential black spot. Distrust between the Armenians and the local government fueled separatist tendencies. Armenia, that did not wish to get involved with the already ongoing Nogorno Karabakh conflict with Azerbaijan, tried to mitigate the situation. Russian presence in the region was also potent as it was viewed as a protector of the Armenians. At one time in the region, Armenian and Russian currency actually dominated the Georgian lari. The situation in Javakhetia was not far from conditions in a ‘black spot’, however following the ‘Rose Revolution’ the dynamic changed and the region is now gradually being integrated into mainstream Georgia.
In Tajikistan, the most marginalized region in the soviet era, Karategin Valley became a strong hold of Islamic opposition, was home to the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU), base of operations that attempted instigating an Islamic revolution in Uzbekistan in 1999-2000. Also Tajik Mujahedeen with strong links with Afghanistan (including criminal networks) were based in this region. The region was gradually pacified on one hand with Russia’s complicated game in the region that played the instability card to put pressure and seek agreements with regional neighbors. Also the shifting interests of powers such as China, Russia and the United States in an evolved global security environment played a role in pacifying the region that at present seems to be a stable part of Tajikistan.
The ‘Wahhabi Republic’ in Dagestan (1998-99) is another example of a black spot, that was established by Islamists from several villages, independent of outside influences, that effectively dismantled Russian state structures, introduced Sharia law, and brought some order to a previously chaotic region. Later however the republic developed links with Chechen rebels. The Republic ceased to exist following the attack of federal troops in September 1999, at the same time when the Chechen intervention triggered the second Chechen war.
Tajikistan’s Gornobadakhshan Autonomous Region of the 1990s is another special, paradoxical example of a black spot. Poverty and inefficiency exacerbated by isolation were festering in the region. Imminent crisis was averted by the intervention of the fourth Agha Khan, spiritual leader of the Ismaili communities of the region. The Agha Khan Foundation became a central entity in the governance and development of the region independent of Tajikistan. Alternative institutions replaced the state and even established cross border relations with non-state entities, characteristic of a ‘black spot’. When the Tajik state gained strength it reestablished ties with the region, integrating it back into the mainstream.




________________________________________________________
Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' The blog development project has been undertaken and jointly developed by the Gilani Research Foundation and BPM as a free resource and social discussion tool.
Please Preview your comments before posting.

Zone 3- Euro-Americas Summary Week # 108

WESTERN EUROPE
According to officials Israel's foreign minister sidestepped questions at EU headquarters last week about his country's alleged role in the recent assassination of a top Palestinian Hamas operative in Dubai.
Meanwhile the Swiss Foreign Ministry revealed last week that a Swiss businessman detained in Libya for more than 19 months has left the country, easing a diplomatic row that began with the 2008 arrest of Moammar Gadhafi's son in Geneva.
Denmark's prime minister announced a major government shake-up last week, changing more than a dozen Cabinet posts including the ministers of defense, justice and foreign affairs to build his own team 10 months after taking office. The reshuffle — which put women in charge of the defense and foreign ministries for the first time — had been widely expected since Lars Loekke Rasmussen took over as leader of the center-right government in April 2009. Meanwhile The Dutch government has set June 9 as the date for general elections, nearly one year ahead of schedule, following the collapse of the center-right government in a dispute over the army's engagement in Afghanistan.
Last week Bank Mellat of Iran won a preliminary court ruling against sanctions imposed by the British government. The government has accused the privately owned bank of providing financial services to companies involved in Iran's nuclear and missile programs. The Treasury acted in October to forbid any U.K. financial companies from doing business with the bank.
Spain's prime minister as the current EU presidency holder has announced that the European Union wants a halt to all executions by 2015 as a step toward abolishing the death penalty. Meanwhile the United Nations has said that formal negotiations on an international treaty to control global warming will resume in Bonn in April, four months after the failed climate change summit in Copenhagen.
With economic recovery barely there and talk of austerity spreading, many European workers are pushing back. French air traffic controllers walked off the job last week just as Lufthansa pilots ended a strike and British Airways cabin crews voted to launch one of their own. Greek unions prepared to shut down much of their country with wide-ranging strikes. The walkouts are the latest signs of a broader unease about jobs and benefits, and what the future holds for a continent struggling to stay competitive on a global scale. Meanwhile a court in Athens last week ruled that a strike by the country's customs officials is illegal. The strike has caused fuel supply problems across the country.
German Finance ministry spokesman Martin Kreienbaum has denied media reports that Berlin is co-ordinating the actions of Eurozone members in providing financial aid to Greece. Meanwhile Greece has asked for support from the EU bloc but says it is not looking for a loan.
Also Germany on last week rejected accusations by Greek Deputy Prime Minister Theodoros Pangalos, who said Berlin has failed to compensate Athens properly for the Nazi occupation during World War II. The German Foreign Ministry says Berlin has provided Athens with aid amounting to billions of euros.

SOUTH-EAST EUROPE
A delegation from the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) arrived in Tirana last week to help end Albania's political stalemate. Following talks the opposition Socialist Party (SP) announced on Wednesday (February 24th) that its members are returning to parliament after nearly six months of boycott.
Bosnia and Herzegovina’s (BiH) Justice Minister Barisa Colak approved last week (February 24th) the extradition of Serb Bojan Guduric to Croatia, where he is wanted in connection with the murder of prominent Croatian publisher and journalist Ivo Pukanic.
Meanwhile BiH’s Ambassadors of the Peace Implementation Council (PIC)'s Steering Board have said that they are concerned by the worsening financial situation in the Federation of BiH (FBiH). The (FBiH) parliament's House of Representatives passed amendments last week to the law on war veterans, a key condition for the release of the next tranche of a 1.2 billion-euro stand-by arrangement with the IMF and additional funding by the World Bank and the European Commission.
The Bulgarian foreign ministry said in a statement last week that the country has held no official talks with Washington on hosting elements of the planned US missile defence shield. The statement came in response to Russia’s request for an explanation on the revamped plans. Meanwhile according to the Russian Energy Minister Sergei Shmatko, Bulgaria and Russia have agreed to start building a nuclear power plant in the Bulgarian town of Belene this autumn.
Kosovo’s Prime Minister Hashim Thaci last week appointed Ylber Hysa as oversee implementation of the strategy for northern Kosovo. The strategy seeks to put the Serb-dominated north under the control of Kosovo institutions, rather than Belgrade-backed parallel structures.
Romanian Economy Minister Adrian Videanu announced last week that Russian gas giant Gazprom has officially invited Romania to join the South Stream gas pipeline project. Meanwhile the IMF has announced it would give Romania $3.32 billion as part of a big loan to help the country recover from its deep recession.
In Serbia Masked policemen searched the house of genocide suspect Ratko Mladic last week in an effort to capture the war crimes fugitive as Serbia seeks EU membership. Also Serbia -- Justice Minister Snezana Malovic invited his Montenegrin counterpart Miras Radovic to meet last week (February 25th) in Belgrade to discuss problems that are hindering co-operation between their respective judicial institutions. Relations between the two nations have grown strained recently over the case of suspected cocaine trafficker Darko Saric, who is allegedly hiding in Montenegro.
Meanwhile President Boris Tadic's office stated that Serbia does not mind Kosovo's participation in regional meetings, as long as it is done in accordance with UN Resolution 1244 and if it is presented as UNMIK-Kosovo.

US/CANADA
President Barack Obama and Republican leaders fought forcefully for their competing visions of historic health care reform last week in a live-TV debate. Far from any accord, Obama signalled the Democrats were prepared to push ahead for an all-or-nothing congressional vote. Meanwhile American companies that hire the unemployed may claim new tax breaks under a jobs-promoting bill that's expected to pass the Senate this week.
Last week in a speech Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton called for closer cooperation between Russia and NATO, the trans-Atlantic alliance that Moscow views with suspicion as a relic of the Cold War and a potential threat to its security.
Meanwhile according to media reports Iran has formally set out its terms for giving up most of its cache of enriched uranium in a confidential document — however the conditions fall short of what has been demanded by the United States and other world powers. .

LATIN AMERICA
Argentina pushed hard Saturday for a new diplomatic offensive aimed at pressing Britain to negotiate the status of the disputed and potentially oil-rich Falkland Islands. Meanwhile the Board of Directors of the World Bank approved last week a US$229 million loan for the Republic of Argentina to support an emergency project for the prevention and management of influenza type illness and strengthening of the epidemiological system.
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula Da Silva said last week that the global community, in its quest for peace, should avoid isolating Iran over its controversial nuclear program. Also Brazil on Friday stressed the importance of Honduras's return to the Organization of American States (OAS) and said the government of Porfirio Lobo should adopt measures to ensure national reconciliation. Meanwhile according to Lula's spokesman the Brazilian President is to meet with Cuban leader Fidel Castro this week for a meeting of "friends" during which they will discuss aspects of international politics.
Mexican President Felipe Calderon said at a summit last week that Latin American and Caribbean nations have agreed to create a new alliance that would exclude regional neighbors United States and Canada. Meanwhile Carlos Navarrete, president of the Mexican Senate, called last week for the U.S. president to immediately lift the economic, commercial and financial blockade against Cuba.
Critics of Felipe Calderon, Mexico's president and his so-called ‘war on drugs’ have alleged that the Mexican government may be favoring the Sinaloa cartel, one of the country's most powerful drug-trafficking organizations.
Mexico’s National Infrastructure Fund, designed to spur private investment in highways, waterworks and ports, will almost double the number of projects it helps finance this year as the government seeks to bolster economic growth and create jobs.
Monsignor Ovidio Pérez Morales, a top member of the Venezuelan Bishops' Conference, said last week that the system the national government wants to impose by destroying private property and merging all social classes into only one class "is leading to collective oppression, and to nationalization rather than socialization (sic)."
Meanwhile Venezuela's energy minister termed as suspicious Colombia's offer to supply Venezuela with electricity as it struggles with a severe energy crisis. He however added that his nation would consider a serious proposal. Later in the week President Hugo Chavez announced that Venezuela is evaluating a proposal to purchase electricity from Colombia and is buying power turbines from General Electric Co. amid nationwide rolling blackouts and a severe drought. Venezuela, which froze relations with Colombia last year, is seeking to avoid politicization of the issue. Also the Ecuadorian government has made a proposal similar to the Colombian offer to export electricity to Venezuela. Meanwhile President Hugo Chavez accused his adversaries on Sunday of sabotaging Venezuela's electricity grid as part of a broader plan aimed at bringing about the system's collapse - and his downfall.
The Colombian government estimates Colombian exports will total USD 37.5 billion in 2010 replacing Venezuela as top export market. Among other factors, it has managed to replace sales to Venezuela with exports to markets such as China, Brazil, Chile and Canada. Meanwhile Luis Eduardo Ataya, the governor of the Colombian department of Arauca has said that he has reports showing that Germán Briceño Suárez, also known as "Grannobles," a FARC guerrilla leader, is hiding in Venezuela.
Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez said last week that Britain's "desperation" for oil was leading it to flout international law in the Falkland Islands, and called on the British to return the islands to Argentina. Meanwhile a group of technicians and assistants to the US Congress held a meeting with deputies of Venezuela's National Assembly last week seeking to improve bilateral relations.
In a statement by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs last week, Venezuela condemned the military coup against Niger's government, presided over by Mamadou Tandja, and urged the international community to support the "reinstatement of constitutional order" in the African country. Also Chavez insisted last week that the presidency of new Honduran President Porfirio Lobo was illegitimate.
Óscar Álvarez, Honduras' Minister of Security has said that authorities from the Central American country have detected between 250 and 300 drug trafficking routes, with most of the aircrafts departing from Venezuela and run by the Mexican cartels.
AUSTRALASIA
Australia has summoned the Israeli ambassador to explain why three new suspects over the Dubai killing of a Hamas leader used Australian passports. §
________________________________________________________
Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' The blog development project has been undertaken and jointly developed by the Gilani Research Foundation and BPM as a free resource and social discussion tool.
Please Preview your comments before posting.

Tuesday, March 9, 2010

BPM Discussion Forum: Summary- (part 2)- Para States, Quasi states, and black spots: Perhaps not States but not ‘Ungoverned Territories’ Either

Case Study 1- Dark Corners: The Western African Joint Criminal Enterprise
By David M. Crane
Throughout history certain parts of the world have been left to wallow in neglect, where endemic bad governance, corruption and unrest, becoming flash points for conflict. Kosovo, Rwanda, Cambodia, Burundi, sierra Leone, Liberia and Cote d’Ivoire are some recent modern day examples of this phenomenon. Illicit activities are carried out in these vacuums under the fabric of international order.
This article discusses one such example, that of the West African endemic criminal enterprise. The 20 years of turmoil has affected the suffering and displacement of over 5 million West Africans.
A Bloody Century:
Estimates reveal that over 200 million people died in the 20th century as a result of domestic as well as international conflicts. The author professes that atrocities carried out under Mao, Stalin, Leopold ц of Belgium, Hitler, Turkish Pashas, Pol Pot of Cambodia, Charles Taylor of Liberia and Sadam Hussain account for around another 12 million fatalities. Cloaked behind the concept of state sovereignty these violations continued without check.
Post the Second World War the world chartered Rights recognizing the essential right of existence thus affecting a fundamental paradigm shift. The Nuremburg Principles, the UN Charter, the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, the Geneva Convention and the Genocide convention established in theory a new world order.
The ‘First Cold War’, preceded by the emancipation of the Southern Hemisphere from their Colonial masters, gave way to a scramble for these nascent states on an ideological agenda. These new states took advantage of the polarized world and combinations of artificially propelled traditional societies incubated endemic unrest. At the end of this ideological war these cast aside, barely functioning states with sham political traditions became the ‘dark corners’ of the world.
Dark Corners- The New Battlefields:
In this arena the second major ideological battle has been bred, essentially an ideological struggle that in the writer’s opinion has now laid the ground for a Second Cold War, involving the West vs. the Islamofascists. He ponders whether the rules of civilization created 6 decades ago by the international community hold enough strength to deal with this evolved threat.
A Case Study- The West African Joint Criminal Enterprise:
In the 80s Libya’s Khadafy, a self proclaimed ‘Emperor of Africa’, sought to control a string of states on the resource rich West African coast, classic examples of ‘Dark Corners’. His attempts were directed through a consortium of war lords, politicians, criminal cartels and terror cells that came to be known as the West African Joint Criminal Enterprise. Crane alleges that following the cold war West Africa fell into a planned state of chaos supported by Kadafy (Libya), Blasé Campare (Burkina Faso) and Chales taylor (Liberia). The latter two were graduates from Kadafy’s terror training camps from the late 80s, along with some other major players in the criminal enterprise. They waged a 10 year long campaign that witnessed the destruction of 2 nations along with suffering and displacement of millions.
In the wake of such turmoil other shady entities like Hamas, Hezbollah and Al Qaeda used the West African base to support their covert operations ranging from illicit diamond trade to fund conflict to seeking refuge in the shadows of the world. A direct consequence of these activities was the decade long civil strife in Sierra Leone where ultimately UN peacekeeping forces were called in and a special court was set up, ultimately bringing an end to the war on January 22, 2002. Efforts by the international community thus checked the nefarious intents of tyrants in this part of the world.
Lessons Learned:
Among the lessons learned, firstly Dark Corners form when insecure parts of the world with potential for conflict are ignored by the international community. Secondly unnatural post colonial solutions set the stage for such crises. Thirdly sustainable peace is only possible through a mechanism of justice and reconciliation.
Engagement and long term efforts by the international community may thus be the only viable solution to deal with dark corners, as was done in the West African case.
Conclusions and Reflections:
In the modern day world the concept of sovereignty and the role of nation state faces a challenge. In an increasingly globalised set up propelled by the information age, the widening gap between the developed and the developing world is troublesome. Weakened state and social structures hold the potential to metamorphose into endemic threats to international peace. Force however should not be employed as a quick fix, but as a last resort. Engaging these vulnerable spots of the world and creating the opportunity for social, political and economic development is perhaps the only viable long term solution.



________________________________________________________
Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' The blog development project has been undertaken and jointly developed by the Gilani Research Foundation and BPM as a free resource and social discussion tool.
Please Preview your comments before posting.

Monday, March 8, 2010

Zone 3- Euro-Americas Summary Week # 107

Week # 107 - Dated 14-20 February, 2010
WESTERN EUROPE
A British venture capital firm plans to launch Europe's first halal industrial park, tapping an under-served market worth up to $6.27 billion a year.
The number of people claiming jobless benefits in the United Kingdom has hit a 12-year high meanwhile the bank of England remains uncertain regarding policy related to stimulus provision. Bank of England policymakers voted unanimously in a recent meeting to keep British interest rates at a record low level and to freeze radical credit-easing plans.
The finance ministers of the 16 members of the euro zone urged Greece on Monday (February 15th) to further slash spending and raise taxes or face possible sanctions next month. Meanwhile the German finance ministry has said that countries using the euro currency will together provide aid worth between 20 and 25 billion euros ($27.2 and $34 billion) for Greece. Last week at a government session Prime Minister George Papandreou accused the bloc of using Greece as a scapegoat to hide the 27-member group's own failures.
France's highest court last week overruled a lower court's acquittal of five former inmates at the Guantanamo Bay prison and ordered an appeals court to rehear the case centring on terrorism charges.
Britain's human rights watchdog called last week for an urgent independent probe into claims that the security services were complicit in the torture of more than 20 of its terror suspects. Meanwhile a probe into similar allegations regarding Britain's last remaining Guantanamo Bay detainee, continue.
British Diplomats met Israel's ambassador last week to discuss fake British passports used by alleged killers of a Hamas chief amid speculation its Mossad spy agency was behind the murder in Dubai. Meanwhile hundreds of peace protesters demonstrated last week outside a factory in southern England where warheads for Trident nuclear submarines are made.
Britain and France led a call last week for an international probe into the violence that followed last year's disputed presidential election in Iran. The demand, which Iran swiftly rejected, came during the U.N. Human Rights Council's first review of Iran's rights record since the organization was founded in 2006.
The Dutch coalition government collapsed last week over whether to extend the country's military mission in Afghanistan, leaving uncertain the future of its 1,600 soldiers fighting there. Prime Minister Jan Peter Balkenende announced that the second largest party in his three-party alliance is quitting, in a breakdown of trust in what had always been an uneasy partnership.
Following media reports a scandal has erupted regarding French military having purposely exposed soldiers to a 1961 nuclear test in the Sahara. The government has denied these allegations but reportedly did concede last year to compensate victims.
Several prominent Anglican British bishops are urging Christians to keep their carbon consumption in check this Lent a 40-day period of penitence before Easter where observant Catholics, Anglicans, and Orthodox Christians give up meat, alcohol or chocolates.

SOUTH-EAST EUROPE
A political stalemate continues in Albania as diplomatic efforts are under way to bring opposing parties to the table. Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) President Mevlut Cavusoglu is expected to head a delegation to assist President Bamir Topi in mediating political negotiations between the government and the opposition in the ongoing boycott of parliament.
According to Bulgaria Prime Minister Boyko Borissov’s statements last week the US is expected to hold preliminary talks with the Bulgarian government on the possibility of hosting elements of the US anti-missile defence shield. Meanwhile Russia has demanded more details from Bulgaria regarding the deployment.
European Union aspirant Croatia will inaugurate its new president, leftwing intellectual Ivo Josipovic this week.
According to local media Kosovo's visa liberalisation process with EU countries is conditioned on the repatriation of thousands of Kosovo citizens living illegally across Europe. The government says it has already reached a repatriation agreement with several EU countries, including France, Belgium and Switzerland, and is in the process of hammering out agreements with Germany and Scandinavian countries.

RUSSIA AND THE BALKANS:
Election officials named Russia-friendly Viktor Yanukovych as the official winner of Ukraine's presidential election Sunday, thwarting Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko's hopes of overturning the vote. Meanwhile Russia has terminated a number of armament projects with Ukraine in the wake of supplies of Ukrainian weapons to Georgia, according to Valery Konovalyuk, who heads the Ukrainian parliament’s commission for investigating illegal weapon supplies.
According to U.S. Ambassador John Beyrle the United States and Russia have agreed that a new arms control treaty will mention a link between offensive nuclear arms and defenses against them. Meanwhile Russia tested its fifth-generation Sukhoi fighter jet in the Russian Far East last week. Russia has also moved to bolster its military presence in Abkhazia, signing an agreement last week to establish a Russian military base in the separatist territory, a focal point of Russia’s war with Georgia in August 2008. In the mean time Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili has criticized French plans to sell a warship and armored vehicles to Russia.
Meanwhile four civilians were killed during anti-militant operations in the volatile southern Russian republic of Ingushetia. Also a Russian group that advocates for human rights, Memorial, said last week that four civilians who were killed during recent operations against Islamist militants in the North Caucasus region had not been accidentally caught in a cross-fire, as Russian authorities have contended
Top managers of a popular Scandinavian retail chain IKEA have been fired for alleged bribery of state officials. Dmitry Medvedev also launched a purge of Russia’s interior ministry last week, firing 18 senior police officers as part of a drive to root out rampant corruption plaguing the country’s law enforcement system. On the environment front Some 2,000 people rallied in the Siberian city of Irkutsk last week to protest the opening of one of Russia's dirtiest factories, the Baikalsk Paper and Cellulose Plant.
With Iran's announcement that it has enriched uranium to 20 per cent, Russia's policy towards the Islamic state is reflecting a shift. Officials have suggested Russia could support a new round of crippling UN sanctions against the Ahmadinejad regime, and now there is a new line of confrontation over its delay in delivering a batch of anti-aircraft missiles.
On the economic front in Russia oil for February delivery rose $2.15, or 3%, to close at $81.51 a barrel, the highest settlement since Oct. 9, 2008. Meanwhile Finland's decision last week to give its final environmental approval to the Nord Stream gas pipeline came as Russia signaled a concession on another key issue for its Nordic neighbor - a further delay in imposing prohibitive export tariffs on raw timber.

US/CANADA
US President Barack Obama is expected to sign an executive order establishing a bipartisan commission to find ways to reduce the gaping US budget deficit. Plans for a congressionally mandated fiscal commission earlier failed to pass through the Senate. The budget deficit is expected to swell to a record 1.556 trillion dollars in fiscal 2010.
Last week President Barack Obama hailed the one-year-old economic stimulus law as an accomplishment that staved off another Great Depression and kept up to 2 million people on the job. Many however remain sceptical.
Muslim scholars have criticized the use of body scanners for security in US airports as a violation of religious teachings on decency in all faiths, asserting a need for respecting people’s religious convictions.
In a recent report two former high-level Bush administration officials who provided legal justification for harsh interrogations of overseas terror suspects have been vindicated against any legal responsibility and may avoid formal punishment.
According to a new poll Canada's Liberals have failed to gain any ground on the Conservatives, despite discontent with the government's decision to suspend Parliament until early March.

LATIN AMERICA
Argentina said last week that boats sailing between it and the British-ruled Falkland Islands will need a government permit, deepening a row over oil exploration in the disputed archipelago.
Last week the first round of Pakistan-Brazil Bilateral Political Consultations was held in Brasilia where the two sides exchanged views on regional and global issues of mutual concern.
As the Mexican war on Drugs continues, the murders of 12 teenage students in Ciudad Juárez is igniting calls for an overhaul of the drug-war crackdown on which President Felipe Calderón has staked his presidency. President Felipe Calderon has promised a new strategy against drug-related violence in Mexico amidst rising public sentiment.
Last week Mexico’s lower house of Congress approved a constitutional amendment that formally establishes the separation of church and state after religious leaders criticized legislation on gay rights and abortion.
On the climate front, Mexico, which will host the United Nations’ main annual climate change meeting in November and December, has proposed two further negotiating sessions to prepare for the talks.
On the economic front Mexican auto production is expected to rise 20 percent this year as demand locally and in the neighboring U.S. rebounds after the global economic crisis, according to Ana Ruth Solano, the Economy Ministry official who oversees the industry.
Amidst a growing energy crisis, the Venezuelan Ministry of Electric Energy has banned the use of electric power in billboards and indoor and outdoor advertising displays. Also Venezuela awarded last week the largest oil investment of President Hugo Chavez's 11-year rule, drawing tens of billions of dollars of much-needed foreign finance to the Orinoco Belt just three years after the leftist leader nationalized operations there.
Meanwhile Chavez said last week that he wanted to govern the country till 2030, to consolidate his socialist project against capitalism. His statement came during the closing celebration of Youth Day, which was celebrated last week with a march of thousands of his followers.
AUSTRALASIA
According to reports Britain's far-right BNP has welcomed news that controversial Australian politician Pauline Hanson is emigrating and offered her the chance to restart her stalled career among its ranks.
Five Muslims were sentenced last week to 23 to 28 years in prison in Australia for stockpiling explosive chemicals and firearms for terrorist attacks on unspecified targets. §



________________________________________________________
Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' The blog development project has been undertaken and jointly developed by the Gilani Research Foundation and BPM as a free resource and social discussion tool.
Please Preview your comments before posting.

Summary-Para States, Quasi States, and Black Spots: Perhaps Not States, But Not ‘Ungoverned Territories,” Either

International Studies Review (2008) Vol. 10
Edited by Bartosz H. Stanislawski

In today’s technologically and economically connected world, problems like crime and terrorism have metamorphosed into boundary less arenas, often stemming their operations from remote regions lacking effective, recognized governance. To term these as ‘ungoverned’ however would be incorrect leading to false assumptions on part of policy makers.
Such zones lack formal, legitimate, democratic or state control and are in effect are controlled by structures that are undemocratic and intent on forwarding their own interests. In this stead ‘Black Spots’ represent territories in which and from which both transnational organized crime (TOC) and terrorism operate, often becoming criminal terrorist entities. These are places in the shadows of global attention and usually prefer to remain below the radar of security agencies.
Control of Territory and the Concept of State:
The 1933 Montevideo Convention on the Rights and Duties of States defines states as entities that have a) a permanent population, b) a defined territory, c) government, and d) the capacity to enter into relations with other states.
This definition implies complete or near complete control over territory and the monopoly over violence instrumental in the enforcement of laws of the state. Lacking these, a state de facto lacks credibility in the international arena.
Degree of ‘Stateness’:
Exceptions to the 1933 Montevideo Convention may exist, for example Israel’s borders since its inception have been highly disputed but the majority of the world does not question its statehood.
Also states may differ based on the degree of their territorial control and performance of governmental control. De jure but not de facto states became common in the postcolonial birth of many new states. Hedley Bull and Adam Watson (1984: 430) called them ‘nascent’, ‘quasi’ or ‘pseudo’ states or states due to international ‘courtesy’. Such ‘quasi states’ possess many features of sovereign states that result from their formal membership in the international community, but they lack ‘the political will, institutional authority and organized power to protect human rights or to provide socio-economic welfare’ (Jackson 1990:21). ‘Privatization’ of the ‘public’ domains ensues, resulting in ‘nepotism, patronage, bribery, extortion, and other personal or black market relationships’ (Jakson 1987: 527) or simply in ‘kleptocracy’ (Andreski 1968). Some examples of such states may be found in Afghanistan and Pakistan (McGirk 2004), parts of Caucasus and southern Europe (King 2001) and third world post conflict countries (TI- Global Corruption Report 2005).
Quasi-States and their Varieties: ‘As-If-States’ and ‘Almost-States':
As-If States may be termed as those that enjoy international recognition but lack de facto control of their territories, while ‘Almost States’ lack international recognition but are characterized by efficient internal control. Charles King (2001) notes examples of ‘Almost States’ may include Nagorno Karabakh (Azerbaijan), Transnistria (Moldova) or Abkhazia and South Ossetia (Georgia). He further notes that since the hostilities between these ‘almost states’ and the central governments have ceased, they have become ‘informational black holes’ where very little is known about them to the outside world.
Black Spots:
In the international security environment, entities may not always be categorized as weak states, failed states or para-states. one key characteristic defining them as black spots may be that they are territorial entities in which illicit actors or ‘transnational criminal organizations… demonstrate the potential… to challenge state sovereignty and gain local dominance’ (Bunker and Sullivan 2003:48).
When states, the guarantors of compliance with international legal standards, lack absolute control over their de jour territories, security concerns may be raised that may warrant external intervention. This however has been traditionally disputed by the concept of sovereignty. Black spots are thus areas that lack international recognition, and government control but nor are they ‘ungoverned’.
The term ‘Black Spot’ was coined to account for those spaces on the world map that appear to be outside of effective, recognized governmental control, sustained by illicit operations, and capable of breeding and exporting insecurity. §


________________________________________________________
Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' The blog development project has been undertaken and jointly developed by the Gilani Research Foundation and BPM as a free resource and social discussion tool.
Please Preview your comments before posting.

Zone 3- Euro-Americas Summary, Week # 106

Week # 106- Dated January 24-30, 2010
WESTERN EUROPE
About 2,500 people marched through downtown Oslo in a protest last week against a Norwegian newspaper that printed a caricature of the Prophet Muhammad.
Phil Jones, the professor behind the "Climategate" affair, has admitted some of his decades-old weather data was not well enough organized contributing to his refusal to share raw data with critics.
The head of MI5 has denied officers withheld information over what it knew about the torture of a UK resident. The Court of Appeal earlier ruled that Mr Mohamed could learn what MI5 knew about his 2002 mistreatment while in secret detention in Pakistan.
As Europe edges toward emergency guarantees to stem market panic amidst the Greek financial crisis, Germany is suffering from growing doubts about the European experiment it has long championed. Eurozone leaders promised last week (February 11th) to help Greece overcome its severe financial crisis but stopped short of offering financial assistance.

SOUTH-EAST EUROPE
Albanian Prime Minister Sali Berisha confirmed last week (February 11th) his government's intention to transform the country into a "regional electricity superpower".
EU envoy to Macedonia Erwan Fouere and US Ambassador to Skopje Philip Reeker on Wednesday (February 10th) strongly rejected as unacceptable a recent remark by the leader of the Democratic Party of Albanians (DPA). Menduh Thaci said that if the government continues to discriminate against Albanians, there will be war in Macedonia. The opposition DPA has been boycotting parliament since last summer, protesting the government's policy towards Albanians.
Fierce blizzards have blocked dozens of roads and left about 20 towns and villages without electricity in Romania. Mean while the country confirmed last week that it is ready to take part in the new version of the US anti-missile defence shield.
Croatian Army Chief of Staff Slavko Baric said last week that almost half of the country's troops have been sent on a prolonged unpaid holiday because of national budget constraints.
Shunning warnings from the international community, the parliament of Republika Srpska (RS) adopted a law on February 10th that could pave the way for a future referendum on the entity's independence; further destabilizing Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH).

RUSSIA
With NATO and the US increasingly seeking help in Afghanistan, Russia has refused to provide any. Meanwhile Russia is increasingly warming up to the U.S. sanctions push against Iran, a move that China has so far opposed.
According to the US ambassador to Russia the new arms reduction treaty between the two states reflects a link between strategic offensive and defensive weapons. Former US Secretary of State Madeleine Albright was in Russia last week in an effort to reduce Russia’s anxieties over NATO expansion and a proposed US missile defense system in Romania.
Meanwhile Russia's military doctrine through 2020, publicized last week does not include a provision for pre-emptive nuclear strikes, as officials had previously suggested.
Prime Minister Vladimir Putin promised Baltic statesmen last week that Russia would curtail its sewage dumping in the Baltic Sea and reassured them that the Nord Stream pipeline would not harm the Sea, as Finland nears a decision on the final permit for the pipeline.
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said last week that nuclear energy development was a national priority, in particular as an instrument for combating global warming. Meanwhile Russia's nuclear chief Sergei Kiriyenko said that the first reactor of the Kudankulam nuclear power plant in India being built using Russian technology and expertise will be launched in 2010 as scheduled.
Last week the Japanese government adopted a document claiming that Russia “illegally occupies the South Kuril Islands.” The disputed territories have been under Russian administration since World War II in accordance with international agreements. Tokyo, however, claims the islands should be returned to Japan.
Sberbank became the first Russian bank to ever make the Top 20 Most Valuable Banking Brands list, complied by Brand Finance. The bank is rated 15th, and lists its 2010 brand name value at $11,729 billion after showing a 160-percent growth last year.
Last week around 20 Chechen ‘militants’ were killed in counter-terrorist operation in southern Russia.
Russia's Prime Minister Vladimir Putin has launched a large-scale offensive against excessive vodka consumption aiming at reducing the level of alcohol consumption by half by the year 2020.
The Russian Federal Guard Service has lifted a January 2008 ban on professional photo and video shoots on the Kremlin's territory on orders of President Medvedev.
A group of French holders of bonds issued by the Czarist government of Russia during World War One have urged Moscow to pay out the century-long debt threatening to seize the Russian property in Paris through courts. The International Federative Association for Russian Bond Holders (AFIPER) estimates the value of bonds at $137 billion (100 billion Euros).

US/CANADA
President Obama has called on the Republican Party for a bipartisan meeting geared at discussing the deadlock healthcare issue. Meanwhile Key Democrats and Republicans in the Senate reached a rare bipartisan agreement last week on steps to spur job creation. According to a latest New York Times/CBS News poll, Americans blame former President George W. Bush, Wall Street and Congress much more than they do Mr. Obama for the nation’s economic problems and the budget deficit.

LATIN AMERICA
A memorandum of understanding (MoU) to cooperate in the peaceful uses of nuclear energy has been signed between the Russian state nuclear company, Rosatom and Argentina's Ministry of Federal Planning, Investment and Services. Meanwhile the Canadian government too made an agreement with the Atomic Energy Commission of Argentina to work peacefully on nuclear technology.
With history repeating itself Argentina and the United Kingdom are once again engaged in a dispute over Falkland Island. U.K government has acquired a contract for the drilling in the region that Argentina has a disputed claim over. In 1980 both countries fought a war over the island that touts a billion dollars oil reserve.
According to a Sao Paulo newspaper, the Brazilian government has decided to buy 36 Rafale fighter aircraft from France at $6.2 billion. The government however announced that a decision is yet to be finalized though Brazil is planning to upgrade its air force. France and Sweden are in competition to provide the facility.
Meanwhile in preparation for the 2016 Olympics, the Brazilian government is incentivizing its police forces with promises of bonuses while providing special training for the high profile event.
Brazilian government has issued the license to build the controversial hydroelectric dam in the Amazon rainforest a $17 billion project, to be the world’s third largest dam at Xingu. River. Contention exists over the issue of relocation of an estimated 12,000 resident Indians.
Installment of virtual fence at US-Mexican border, a project initiated by the Bush administration at a total cost of $6.7 billion, has now been delayed till 2014. Meanwhile the death of 16 school children in Mexico’s war against drug cartels has sparked a heated blame debate in the congress. Journalists have voiced reluctance to perform their duties where 89% of the crimes against journalists are still unresolved and the figure is even higher in the case of citizens.
Heavy rains in Mexico City have claimed 33 lives and have left 3500 homeless.
Trucking dispute between US and Mexico regarding the violation of NAFTA trade agreement against allegations of U.S. protectionism is to be resolve in the US congress.
Amidst its electricity crisis Venezuela’s Chavez has sought help from long term ally Cuba. Meanwhile the police used tear gas, plastic bullets and water cannons on the student gathered in Caracas to protest against the government. The same day supporters of Chavez gathered in the city to celebrate the Day of Dignity marking the 18th anniversary of the failed coup attempt against Chavez. The UN has taken note of Rights violations in Venezuela where two students died last week in similar protests.
Twitter an internet social blog is becoming popular in Venezuelan community where Chavez opponents employ it to criticize government’s policies freely. Previously 5 channels critical of the government have been refused licenses renewals. Chavez has also launched his own radio show to broadcast directly to the nation. §

________________________________________________________
Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' The blog development project has been undertaken and jointly developed by the Gilani Research Foundation and BPM as a free resource and social discussion tool.
Please Preview your comments before posting.