Showing posts with label World Leaders. Show all posts
Showing posts with label World Leaders. Show all posts

Monday, January 11, 2010

Zone 3- Micro Analysis: ‘The Copenhagen Climate Summit- a Success or a Debacle?’

Week # 99 – Dated 20th-26th Dec. 09’


United Nations Climate Change Conference Dec 7th- 18th 2009

On the 19th of Dec. 2009, delegates from 192 countries passed a motion at the United Nations Copenhagen Climate Conference bringing the Summit back from the brink of collapse. The motion simply notes a loose deal
aimed at limiting temperature rises to less than 2C, with out any specific binding emissions targets. Delegates agreed to ‘recognize’ the US-brokered deal, which was arranged between five key nations including China, India and Brazil but failed to secure unanimous support. The Copenhagen summit could not conclude negotiations under the Bali Action Plan (BAP) and the Kyoto Protocol, the treaty that is currently in operation to deal with climate change issues. It is now proposed to be completed by the end of 2010.

Initially a row between China and the US, the world’s two largest emitters, effectively paralyzed the summit. The fundamental dispute between the two was over the monitoring of states’ progress on curbing their emissions. While the US pressed for strong independent verification and monitoring of each country’s progress China opposed the notion as infringement of its national sovereignty.

After eight draft texts Barack Obama and Wen Jiabao, the Chinese premier, were the principle participants to broker the political agreement. The proposed deal quotes ‘recognition’ of the scientific case for limiting emissions to 2C annually, a less ambitious target than the previous 1.5C limit, which was a disappointment for African and other vulnerable countries including low-lying and island nations, fearful of being engulfed by rising sea levels.

Meanwhile the earlier 2050 goal of reducing global CO2 emissions by 80% was also dropped. Scientists say even a 2C limit will require cutting greenhouse gases by at least 50 % by 2050. However a legally-binding target for developed countries was removed in favor of allowing rich countries to set their own targets, with which they will come forward by February. Developing countries have, for the first time, been asked to "take action" to cut emissions.

The US-BASIC deal was brokered following meetings between the US President Barack Obama, the Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao, Brazilian President Lula Da Silva and South African President Jacob Zuma, aiming to provide $30bn a year for poor countries to adapt to
climate change from next year to 2012, and $100bn a year by 2020.The agreement also set up a forestry deal aiming to significantly reduce deforestation in return for cash.

The pact lacking unanimity was primarily opposed by Cuba, Sudan, Nicaragua, Bolivia, Venezuela, Tuvalu and Costa Rica. However Japan, Norway, African nations with the European Union nations came out in support of the proposal. Earlier this week however the European Union sought to shift much of the blame for the outcome of the summit on the US and China, the world's two largest emitters of carbon dioxide. Sweden, the current EU presidency holder, described the Copenhagen agreement as a disaster for the environment, while German Chancellor Angela Merkel was slightly more optimistic, commenting that the accord was something that "now needed to be built upon". UN Secretary Genral Ban Ki-moon also noted that the pact was an important beginning with ‘an immediate operational effect’.

In the aftermath of the conference developed and developing nations have traded blows over who was to blame for the weak deal. On a pessimistic world front one analyst notes that Britain accused China of hijacking the proceedings, while Brazil attacked the perceived lack of commitment shown by Washington. In turn, India harangued Australia for being an "ayatollah of the single track," and small island nations like Tuvalu accused rich nations of blatant disregard for their plight.

Critics warn the ‘Copenhagen Accord’ is full of holes and lacks a timetable. Meanwhile environment agencies have branded the deal ‘toothless and a failure’. The pact has no reference to a legally binding agreement which also lacks any detailed framework on controversial carbon markets. Emerging nations are now to monitor their own efforts on climate change and report to the UN
every two years.

The Proponents of the deal argue that it would at least get the money flowing with the $10bn (£6bn) a year "fast start" funding for the poorest and most vulnerable countries to protect themselves from the impact of drought and floods caused by global warming over the
next three years. By 2020 the world is to "mobilize" $100bn a year through a "Copenhagen Green Climate Fund", which will also help poorer countries halt deforestation and switch to greener technology. The accord has also kept the Kyoto Protocol sacrosanct as future negotiations will be based on its basic principles. It binds the developed countries to take deeper cuts in carbon emissions and provide financial and technical support to the developing countries to enable them to reduce their carbon emissions.

A
meeting of all UN members' climate change negotiators is planned to be held in Bonn in June, and their annual conference is due in Mexico in December. The TIME Magazine notes that, “if Copenhagen was tough, Mexico City (COP16 in December 2010) will be a lot more so, because there, countries will be tasked with filling in details sketched in the Copenhagen Accord” – but, as the toughness of the negotiations only demonstrate that climate policy has moved beyond hot air into economic reality – “It’s going to get harder, and that’s a good thing”.

Discussion Questions:
o Do you think the Copenhagen summit fell short of its potential?
o In your opinion does the global public opinion hold strength to push for more credible commitments in the coming year?
Bibliography/Related Links:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/copenhagen-climate-change-confe/6841472/Copenhagen-climate-summit-meaningful-agreement-reached.html
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/copenhagen-climate-change-confe/6845929/Climate-summit-ends-in-chaos-and-toothless-deal.html http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/copenhagen-climate-change-confe/6846033/Copenhagen-Accord-Questions-and-Answers.html
http://en.cop15.dk/
http://www.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,1929071_1929070_1949054,00.html http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/copenhagen
http://www.erantis.com/events/denmark/copenhagen/climate-conference-2009/index.htm
http://www.commodityonline.com/news/The-achievement-of-Copenhagen-Summit-24453-3-1.html
http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/current-affairs/copenhagen-summit-failure-or-progress_433250.html
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2010-01/03/content_12749126.htm
http://www.tehrantimes.com/index_View.asp?code=210432
http://www.thenewamerican.com/index.php/world-mainmenu-26/europe-mainmenu-35/2676-copenhagen-report-obama-fails-to-qseal-the-dealq
http://newsblaze.com/story/20100101164752nava.nb/topstory.html
http://www.csmonitor.com/World/2009/1218/Copenhagen-summit-Major-powers-broker-compromise-voluntary-climate-pact
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/copenhagen/article6961422.ece
http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,5054166,00.html
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article6951874.ece
________________________________________________________
Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' The blog development project has been undertaken and jointly developed by the
Gilani Research Foundation and BPM as a free resource and social discussion tool.
Please Preview your comments before posting.

Monday, January 4, 2010

Zone 3- Micro Analysis- ‘Lisbon Treaty- Streamlining the European Union’

Week # 97, Dated4th – 11th Dec. 09’

The Treaty of Lisbon (initially known as the Reform Treaty) is a treaty that was signed by the European Union (EU) member states on 13 December 2007, and entered into force on 1 December 2009. It amends the Treaty on European Union (TEU, Maastricht; 1992) and the Treaty establishing the European Community (TEC, Rome; 1957).[1]
Prominent changes included more qualified majority voting in the Council of Ministers, increased involvement of the European Parliament in the legislative process through extended co decision with the Council of Ministers, the elimination of the pillar system and the creation of a long-term President of the European Council and a High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy to present a united position on EU policies. The Treaty also made the Union's human rights charter, the Charter of Fundamental Rights, legally binding. [2]

Under the Lisbon Treaty[3]:

Top jobs
A politician is chosen to be President of the European Council for two and a half years, replacing the current system where presidency is rotated between member states every six months. Belgian Prime Minister, Herman van Rompuy has been chosen by the EU leaders to be the first permanent European Council President.
The post of the EU High Representative for Foreign and Security Policy combines the former roles of EU Foreign Policy chief and External Affairs Commissioner. The job of foreign affairs supremo has gone to the EU Trade Commissioner, Baroness Catherine Ashton from the UK.
Charter of Fundamental Rights
The Lisbon Treaty makes the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights a legally-binding document. The Charter lists the human rights recognized by the European Union.
Citizens’ Initiative
Under the Lisbon Treaty, the Commission is obliged to consider any proposal signed by at least one million citizens from a number of member states.
National parliaments to get ‘yellow card’ facility
All proposals for EU legislation will have to be sent to national parliaments. If enough national parliaments object to a proposal, the Commission can decide to maintain, amend or withdraw it.
Smaller commission
The European Commission is the EU’s executive arm; it put forwards legislation and ensures that EU policies are correctly implemented.
The 27 commissioners of the EC will be reduced to 18 members from 2014 onwards, with membership rotating every five years, i.e. only two-thirds of member states will have their own commissioner at any one time, and each country will lose its commissioner for five years at a time.
Areas of EU competence
It establishes joint competence in the areas of space and energy. It also gives the EU the role of supporting competence in several new fields including health, education, tourism, energy and sport.
Redistribution of voting weights between member states

Within those areas to be decided by qualified majority voting, the current rules require the support of a little over 72% of member states for a law to be passed. Under the new system due to come into effect from 2014, a vote can be passed if it is backed by 55% of member states, and secondly, if these countries represent 65% of the EU’s population. It can also be passed if less than four countries oppose it. The changes mean that it will be easier to pass legislation, and more difficult to block it. Countries with smaller populations will have less chance of blocking legislation.
Shift from unanimity to majority voting
The Lisbon Treaty will see an increase in the number of policy areas to be decided by a majority vote at the Council, rather than by unanimity. There are some notable exceptions that will still require unanimous decisions, including taxation and defence.
One area where the unanimity veto will give way to qualified majority voting is Justice and Home Affairs, covering issues such as asylum, immigration, criminal law, border controls and police cooperation.
Changes to Common Security and Defence Policy
The Lisbon Treaty provides for the progressive framing of a common defence policy for the European Union, which will nonetheless respect the neutrality of member states. It also allows the European Council to change decision-making from unanimity to majority voting in a number of areas, excluding military and defence. However such changes will themselves require unanimous decisions.

Arguments for and against the Lisbon Treaty: [4]

For
· The Lisbon Treaty clarified the power of the EU and the role of the nation state.
· Changes to Qualified majority voting QMV made the voting system fairer for all members and decision-making more democratic.
· The Treaty safeguards citizens' fundamental rights.
· The EU is more likely to pass legislation, even with twenty-seven or more members.
· With the longer-term presidency, individual nation states are less able to pursue specific interests as the leadership is acting in the interests of EU, giving focus and direction.
Against
· It gives the unelected EU Commission greater say over foreign and home affairs. This challenges the principle that sovereign states should have control over these important policy areas.
·
Nations like the UK are no longer able to use a veto to block future changes in an increasing number of areas, potentially even those in which they have negotiated an opt-out.
· The treaty made the EU an international actor in its own right, separate from, and superior to, it’s Member States. It turns what was an international agreement into something more like a single state.
· Changes did not address the EU's democratic deficit - the Commission remains answerable solely to the European Council and not directly to any EU citizens, as does the new President.
· The European Court of Justice ECJ gained jurisdiction in a range of areas, including the power to dictate the fundamental rights of all EU citizens, with precedence over long-established national institutions.

For now the pre-existing system, whereby an EU nation assumed the rotating presidency for a six-month period, is being retained. In the new year Spain is to assume the rotating presidency from Sweden. This however does not extend to the EU summits and foreign ministers' meetings, when EU Council president Van Rompuy and foreign policy High Representative Baroness Ashton will be in the chair.

Bibliography/ Related Links:
http://europa.eu/lisbon_treaty/index_en.htm
http://www.civitas.org.uk/eufacts/FSTREAT/TR6.htm
http://www.brusselsjournal.com/node/2773
http://eurolinknews.com/2008/04/25/the-lisbon-treaty-for-dummies-25408
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_of_Lisbon
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6901353.stm
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/e9a41976-ef35-11de-86c4-00144feab49a.html
http://www.mysinchew.com/node/33278
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/8367589.stm
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/archive/c/c9/20091108160404%21Lisbon-ratification.gif
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_of_Lisbon
[2] Ibid
[3] http://eurolinknews.com/2008/04/25/the-lisbon-treaty-for-dummies-25408
[4] http://www.civitas.org.uk/eufacts/FSTREAT/TR6.htm
________________________________________________________
Business and Politics in the Muslim World (BPM)refers to the project entitled, "Globalized Business and Politics: A View from the Muslim World.' The blog development project has been undertaken and jointly developed by the Gilani Research Foundation and BPM as a free resource and social discussion tool.
Please Preview your comments before posting.